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Professor ParlayGet the free email

FREE DAILY EMAIL · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

“Give me 90 seconds a day and I'll teach you to read any bet.”

Professor Parlay, a cartoon professor with gray hair and black glasses

I'm Professor Parlay. I take one bet apart every morning.

One real bet each morning, taken apart. What the price means, what the rules say, and what it takes to get paid. Free, by email. No picks, ever.

WHERE SHOULD I SEND IT?

Free. One click to unsubscribe.

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Professor Parlay in a lab coat and hoodie, pointing at a phone that shows live Kalshi prices

Live prices on real bets, right now. Every morning I pick one and take it apart in your inbox.

Prices from Kalshi. Last trade, refreshed every minute.

What you get

Learn to read any bet in three moves.

You can learn them from me for free or from your account balance. One of those takes 90 seconds a day.

  • 01The price

    What a price is telling you

    Say a Bitcoin bet costs 30 cents and pays a dollar. It has to hit more than 3 times in 10 for you to come out ahead, before fees. Most people never run that number. You'll do it in your head before you tap buy.

  • 02The rules

    Read the rules before you buy

    Which price feed counts at 5pm? Does overtime count? What happens if the game gets moved? The rules answer all of it, and the rules decide who gets paid. You'll learn where to find them and how to read them fast.

  • 03The trap

    The "sure thing" that loses money

    Say you pay 92 cents for a bet that feels like a lock. You risk 92 to make 8. Be right 9 times out of 10 and you still lose money. You'll learn to spot these before you buy one.

WHERE SHOULD I SEND IT?

Kevin takes the loss. You take the lesson.

Kevin sits in the back row of every email. He buys first and reads the rules later. He pays 92 cents for a sure thing. He has never once done the math. You get to watch what happens next.

Kevin isn't real, and his trades are made up. The math in them is always real. When I use a real bet or a real number, I link the source.

Kevin, a cartoon student in a yellow hoodie and backwards cap, grinning and holding up his cracked phone while Professor Parlay watches him over a coffee mug

Do you trade the Bitcoin markets?

Kalshi's 15 minute up or down market and the hourly contracts, beside a live 1 minute chart. Refreshed every minute.

See the Bitcoin board

A SAMPLE CLASS

Read one before you sign up.

From Professor Parlay

Subject Kevin made 40 Bitcoin bets before lunch

Class, sit down. Kevin, phone in the basket.

Kalshi opens a new Bitcoin bet every 15 minutes. Up or down. That's 96 a day. Kevin found them at 8 AM. By noon he'd made 40 bets at five bucks each.

Is it a coin flip? Somebody checked 200 of these in a row, September 4 to 6. 98 went up. 102 went down.

Kevin says he has a feel for it. So does every guy at the roulette table writing down numbers.

What does the flip cost? At 50 cents, Kalshi's fee runs about 3.5% of what you put down. On five bucks, that's 18 cents. You wouldn't notice 18 cents. Neither did Kevin. He did it 40 times.

He went 20 and 20. He broke even. He's down $7.20.

Write that down: a coin flip with a fee is paying a cover charge to stand in your own kitchen.

Professor Parlay at a desk with a mug that reads “Markets don’t lie, people do”

JOIN THE CLASS

You already play.
Now get good.

Out of 2.5 million Polymarket wallets, 84 in 100 are down and 16 are up. I won't promise you a spot in the 16. Nobody honest would. My job is to make sure you know what you're buying: what the price means, what the rules say, and what the math needs from you.

Source: Sergeenkov, Polymarket profitability

The easy money in any market is the person who skipped those three.

One email each morning. 90 seconds. Free. No picks, ever. You make the calls. I make sure you can read them.

WHERE SHOULD I SEND IT?

Free. One click to unsubscribe.